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Tails of copulas, une lecture graphique

Suite à une formation que je faisais en fin de semaine à Brest (les slides sont ici et là), je voulais revenir sur les histoires de tails of copulas, pour reprendre le titre de l’article (ici) de Gary...

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Lecture notes on risk and insurance

I just finished some lectures notes onrisk and insurance The notes, that can be downloaded here, are in French, and will be used at the JES (Journées d’Etudes Statistiques), organised at the CIRM...

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the Dirichlet distribution

In the course, since we are still introducing some concepts of dependent distributions, we will talk about the Dirichlet distribution, which is a distribution over the simplex of . Let  denote the...

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(nonparametric) copula density estimation

Today, we will go further on the inference of copula functions. Some codes (and references) can be found on a previous post, on nonparametric estimators of copula densities (among other related...

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Bounding sums of random variables, part 1

For the last course MAT8886 of this (long) winter session, on copulas (and extremes), we will discuss risk aggregation. The course will be mainly on the problem of bounding  the distribution (or some...

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Bounding sums of random variables, part 2

It is possible to go further, much more actually, on bounding sums of random variables (mentioned in the previous post). For instance, if everything has been defined, in that previous post, on...

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Lausanne

I will be back in Lausanne (I was already there last summer) to spend a few days, visiting Florian, at HEC Lausanne. I will also give a talk on old and new results on (standard) families of copulas....

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Copules et processus empiriques

Tarek Zari a soutenu sa thèse au début du mois, présentant une “contribution  à l’étude du processus empirique de copule“, et sa thèse est en ligne ici. Je mets aussi une copie des slides de la...

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Fractals and Kronecker product

A few years ago, I went to listen to Roger Nelsen who was giving a talk about copulas with fractal support. Roger is amazing when he gives a talk (I am also a huge fan of his books, and articles), and...

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Course on copulas and correlated risks (in French, still)

The course on copulas, in Luminy, starts at 8.30 on Wednesday (here). The slides can be found here. Arthur CharpentierArthur Charpentier, professor in Montréal, in Actuarial Science. Former...

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Kendall’s function for copulas

As mentioned in the course on copulas, a nice tool to describe dependence it Kendall’s cumulative function. Given a random pair  with distribution  , define random variable . Then Kendall’s cumulative...

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Copulas estimation and influence of margins

Just a short post to get back on results mentioned at the end of the course. Since copulas are obtained using (univariate) quantile functions in the joint cumulative distribution function, they are –...

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Copulas and tail dependence, part 1

As mentioned in the course last week Venter (2003) suggested nice functions to illustrate tail dependence (see also some slides used in Berlin a few years ago). Slides astin from Arthur Charpentier Joe...

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Copulas and tail dependence, part 2

An alternative to describe tail dependence can be found in the Ledford & Tawn (1996) for instance. The intuition behind can be found in Fischer & Klein (2007)). Assume that  and  have the same...

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Copulas and tail dependence, part 3

We have seen extreme value copulas in the section where we did consider general families of copulas. In the bivariate case, an extreme value can be written where  is Pickands dependence function, which...

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Copules et processus empiriques

Tarek Zari a soutenu sa thèse au début du mois, présentant une “contribution  à l’étude du processus empirique de copule“, et sa thèse est en ligne ici. Je mets aussi une copie de ses slides là....

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Exchangeability, credit risk and risk measures

Exchangeability is an extremely concept, since (most of the time) analytical expressions can be derived. But it can also be used to observe some unexpected behaviors, that we will discuss later on with...

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Graduate Course on Copulas and Extreme Values

This Winter, I will be giving a (graduate) course on extreme values, and copulas (more generally multivariate models and dependence), MAT8595. It is an ISM course, and even if it will probably be given...

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Conditional dependence measures

This week, I spend some time at the Workshop on Nonparametric Curve Smoothing conference at Concordia. Yesterday afternoon, Noël Veraverbeke show an interesting graph, to illustrate conditional copulas...

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In statistics, having too much information might not be a good thing

A common idea in statistics is that if we don’t know something, and we use anestimator of that something (instead of the true value) then there will be some additional uncertainty. For instance,...

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Multivariate Archimax copulas

Our paper, written jointly also with Anne-Laure Fougères, Christian Genest and Johanna Nešlehová, entitled Multivariate Archimax Copulas, should appear some day in the Journal of Multivariate Analysis....

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Bivariate Densities with N(0,1) Margins

This Monday, in the ACT8595 course, we came back on elliptical distributions and conditional independence (here is an old post on de Finetti’s theorem, and the extension to Hewitt-Savage’s). I have...

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Talk at CIMAT, Guanajuato, Mexico

I will be back in Guanajuato, Mexico, this week, to visit Victor Rivero. And I will give a talk at the Centro de Investigacion en Matematicas (CIMAT) this Wednesday on “Multivariate Archimax Copulas“....

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Correlation with constraints on pairs

An interesting question was posted on http://math.stackexchange.com/726205/…: if one knows the covariances  and , is it possible to infer ? I asked myself a question close to this one a few weeks ago...

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Modeling the Marginals and the Dependence separately

When introducing copulas, it is commonly admitted that copulas are interesting because they allow to model the marginals and the dependence structure separately. The motivation is probably Sklar’s...

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Copula Density Estimation

The joint paper, written with Gery Geenens and Davy Paindaveine, entitled “Probit transformation for nonparametric kernel estimation of the copula density” is now online on...

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Examen, Copules et Valeurs Extrêmes

Après les exposés des dernières séances, l’examen du cours MAT8595, Copules et Valeurs Extrêmes avait lieu hier matin. L’énoncé est en ligne, et j’ai aussi écrit quelques éléments de correction, là. En...

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On Hoeffding’s identity

In 1940, Wassily Hoeffding published Masstabinvariante Korrelationstheorie, which was an impressive paper. For those (like me) who unfortunately barely speak German, an English translation could be...

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Conditional Distributions from some Elliptical Vectors

This winter, in my ACT8595 course, I asked my students (that was some homework) to prove that it was possible to derive the conditional distribution when we have a Student-t random vector (and to get...

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The Pay-for-Performance Myth

Last week, Eric Chemi and Ariana Giorgi published an interesting article on “The Pay-for-Performance Myth” With all the public chatter about exorbitant executive compensation and income inequality,...

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